Person
Daniel Rosch
Working paper
Liquidity constraints, home equity and residential mortgage losses
This paper analyses how borrower liquidity constraints and home equity relate to the realized loss given default (LGD) using the quarterly U.S. residential mortgage loan-level data observed from Q2 2005 to Q1 2015. We define defaulted loans with zero-LGD as cure loans and those with non-zero LGD as non-cure loans. We find robust evidence that...
Working paper
Role of loan portfolio losses and bank capital for Asian financial system resilience
This paper analyses the systemic risk in relation to bank lending for Asian economies. The methodology complements existing market-based systemic risk measures by providing measures based on accounting information that regulators typically collect. Loan loss provisions of banks are decomposed into (i) a prediction component that is based on observable bank characteristics, and (ii) two...
Working paper
Valuation of Systematic Risk in the Cross-Section of Credit Default Swap Spreads
This paper analyses the pricing of systematic risk factors in credit default swap contracts in a two-stage empirical framework. In the first pass, we estimate contract specific sensitivities to several systematic risk factors by time-series regressions using quoted credit default swap (CDS) spreads of 339 U.S. entities from 2004 to 2010. We find that the...
Working paper
Ratings-based capital adequacy for securitizations
This paper develops a framework to measure the exposure to systematic risk for pools of asset securitizations and measures empirically whether current ratings-based rules for regulatory capital of securitizations under Basel II and Basel III reflect this exposure.
Working paper
Dynamic implied correlation modeling and forecasting in structured finance
The market volume of credit derivatives increased rapidly from $180 billion in 1996 to over $57 trillion in 2008 (BBA, 2006; BIS, 2010). This growth rate highlights the importance of these new instruments in nancial markets. Consequences of the global nancial crisis (GFC), e.g., the Lehman Brothers' bankruptcy in 2008, underline the challenge to aggregate...