Briefing paper
What are we discounting for? Thinking through CGT reform options utilising property data
There are various proposals regarding how to reform capital gains taxation in Australia. Using data on realised capital gains in 2022 for a subset of housing investors (those holding for between one and nine years) this paper describes how four different tax systems, including the current system, would have treated individuals differently.
Working paper
The mortgage debt channel of monetary policy when mortgages are liquid
Australians hold some of the highest levels of mortgage debt in the world. This paper examines what is widely considered to be one of the strongest channels of monetary policy transmission into household spending – the effect of changes in mortgage payments when mortgage rates are linked to the short-term policy rate.
Report
AI, productivity, and Australia’s choice of regulatory framework
Amid an evolving range of international approaches, this report finds that the Australian Government is yet to provide a clear direction for AI regulation. It highlights the importance of regulatory certainty as an enabler of AI-driven productivity. It outlines five principal channels for productivity gains: labour-improving tools, automation, firm-level reorganisation, sectoral reallocation and knowledge creation.
Briefing paper
Who pays income tax? The distribution of individual income tax rates in Australia
Individual income taxes in Australia raise nearly half of federal government revenue. This note offers a new perspective on the efficiency and equity implications of the individual income tax system. The findings paint two starkly different pictures of horizontal and vertical equity in effective tax rates at high and low levels of income.
Briefing paper
The role of informal safety nets: lessons from the 2014 changes to the Disability Support Pension
The 2014 reforms to the Disability Support Pension (DSP) resulted in the removal of younger recipients with some work capacity from the DSP. This paper explores the effect on household income and health outcomes for those removed. The findings have important implications for the design of income support payment. The paper provides key insights for...