Report
Assessing the impact of NSW’s Safer Pathway Program on recorded crime outcomes – an aggregate-level analysis
The Safer Pathway program has only had a limited effect on the incidence of domestic violence (DV) in NSW, according to this report released by the NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research.
Report
The determinants of trial duration: a preliminary study
An exploratory analysis of the factors influencing trial duration in the NSW District Criminal Court.
Report
Forecasting trial delay in the NSW District Criminal Court: an update
Aim: To develop a statistical model which enables court administrators to determine the future impact on trial court delay of changes in the backlog of pending trials. Method: Data on the size of the pending caseload between January 2011 and June 2016 were drawn from records held by the NSW District Criminal Court Registry. Data...
Report
Adult prison population size in New South Wales: comparative forecasts
Aim: To compare the accuracy of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and Holt-Winters additive exponential smoothing method for forecasting the size of the total NSW adult prison population Method: NSW adult prison population data was obtained up until July 2016. A rolling origin approach was used with 20 estimation periods (of increasing length) and...
Report
Violent criminal careers: a retrospective longitudinal study
Overview Aims: To determine: (1) the long-term risk that someone charged with a violent offence will commit another violent offence (2) what factors influence the likelihood of desistance and the length of time to the next violent offence for those who do re-offend. Method: All 26,472 offenders who were born between 1986 and 1990 (inclusive)...