Report

Electoral matrix: 2004 federal election

Publisher
Elections Federal government Australia
Description

The well-known electoral pendulum lists seats according to the swing needed for each seat to change hands on either sides of the pendulum. Unfortunately, electoral swings are not necessarily uniform across seats and the pendulum is not a necessarily reliable predictor of election outcomes in particular seats. In this research note Gerard Newman attempts to overcome the uniform swing assumption implied in the pendulum construct by presenting seat margin data in a different format.

Publication Details
Access Rights Type:
open